The US election is 100 days away, and they are afraid to "tear" it to the end

In the United States, the coronavirus epidemic continues to spread at an alarming rate, with a sluggish economy, high unemployment and riots hitting many major cities.

If the presidential election is a "comprehensive" political show in the United States once every four years, then the United States under the "stage" is only more divided in social issues such as race,

wealth and poverty than four years ago; On the "stage", the protagonists, depending on their respective political calculations, may still choose a "tear" to the end of the tactic. "Tear" and "tear", each other cause and effect.

The US election is 100 days away, and they are afraid to "tear" it to the end

The last 100 days are very variable

Nationwide, a YouGov poll released on July 26 showed that former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, had 51 percent support, while President Donald Trump, the Republican candidate seeking re-election, had 41 percent support;

In the US election, some "swing states" always get a lot of attention. In Michigan, a YouGov poll on July 26 showed Biden with 48% support and Trump with 42%. In Pennsylvania, a July 22 Fox poll showed Biden with 50 percent support and Trump with 39 percent.

Do the 100-day countdown polls mean much as an indicator of the final election results? Full of uncertainty.

Some analysts believe that the political polarization and party rivalry in the United States is particularly serious, and political operations such as smear and discredit are common, in such an environment, there may still be many variables in the next stage of the election.

For example, Fox White House correspondent Kevin Corker said that 100 days before the 1988 presidential election, Bush was 17 points behind his opponent in the polls, but won 40 of the 50 states in the final results.

According to the US news website Aksios, a month away from the 2016 election, only on October 7 of that year, Trump's derogatory tape of women, "wikileaks" exposed Hillary's emails, and the Obama administration accused Russia of hacking the Democratic Party's computers and other major news related to the election.

Aksios believes that the final 100 days before this year's election will be similarly "bumpy" and advises readers to "sit tight and hold on."

Political polarization in the United States often makes it difficult for candidates to maintain large leads for long periods of time, and these advantages tend to shrink over time.

The US election is 100 days away, and they are afraid to "tear" it to the end

Trump wants to shake off the "weak response" label

As the campaign moves toward the sprint stage, the Trump team has frequently changed campaign managers and adjusted campaign strategies. Biden's team seized on the Trump administration's failure to fight the epidemic.

In the context of the torn American society, both sides have changed their ways and still need to consolidate their base of supporters with more radical gestures.

In the case of the Trump team, the current strategy adjustment seems to be reflected in a "soft" and "hard".

First, to maintain the stability of the "economic brand" that they rely on and value most, and to "soften their position" in the most controversial aspect of "restarting" the economy, with a view to recovering the adverse impact of the ineffective response to the epidemic on the election.

Before the outbreak of the new coronavirus, the Trump team had been constantly using the US economic data to improve and the stock market to hit new highs as its "signboard" to brag and exaggerate. However,

in the past few months, the Trump administration has failed to control the novel coronavirus epidemic in time, the economy has plunged, and the number of unemployed has soared, and it is difficult to claim this "achievement".